Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.096557 0.104295 0.112528 0.121967 0.132524 0.144009 0.157501
2024-10-27 0.082442 0.092870 0.104632 0.118986 0.136180 0.156301 0.181910
2024-11-03 0.077391 0.089992 0.104855 0.123914 0.148053 0.178099 0.219127
2024-11-10 0.074361 0.088744 0.106348 0.129887 0.161186 0.202357 0.262377
2024-11-17 0.069697 0.084834 0.103897 0.130237 0.166647 0.216764 0.293984
2024-11-24 0.064955 0.080326 0.100132 0.128246 0.168394 0.225840 0.318755
2024-12-01 0.060661 0.076023 0.096207 0.125529 0.168606 0.232399 0.340236
2024-12-08 0.056506 0.071597 0.091750 0.121596 0.166511 0.235027 0.355432
2024-12-15 0.053927 0.069122 0.089761 0.120966 0.169159 0.245100 0.384479
2024-12-22 0.051250 0.066338 0.087130 0.119131 0.169685 0.251670 0.408172
2024-12-29 0.049706 0.065034 0.086499 0.120193 0.174796 0.266305 0.449185
2025-01-05 0.047126 0.062118 0.083345 0.117131 0.172877 0.268530 0.466207
2025-01-12 0.044404 0.058995 0.079902 0.113680 0.170516 0.270606 0.485390
2025-01-19 0.041997 0.056235 0.076880 0.110737 0.168844 0.273930 0.508463
2025-01-26 0.041650 0.056471 0.078370 0.115163 0.180394 0.303705 0.598036
2025-02-02 0.041531 0.057025 0.080361 0.120556 0.194278 0.340399 0.716113
2025-02-09 0.040272 0.055771 0.079425 0.120871 0.198716 0.358315 0.791821
2025-02-16 0.038656 0.053888 0.077371 0.119073 0.198879 0.366980 0.844571
2025-02-23 0.037020 0.051900 0.075043 0.116618 0.197491 0.371958 0.888151
2025-03-02 0.035272 0.049666 0.072204 0.113060 0.193559 0.370537 0.911565
2025-03-09 0.034221 0.048491 0.071052 0.112490 0.195676 0.383749 0.987768
2025-03-16 0.033029 0.047041 0.069372 0.110828 0.195350 0.390966 1.046306
2025-03-23 0.032392 0.046454 0.069110 0.111790 0.200688 0.413291 1.170084